At the beginning of the year, we heard a lot of talk about how 2014 was going to be another Republican wave year, like 2010, or bigger. Now, however, it's clear that 2014 has not followed the same trajectory as 2010.
By this time in 2010, Democratic fortunes were sliding downhill fast, according to generic congressional ballot polling questions. This year—not so much. Take a look at the trends (Loess curves):
attribution: dreaminonempty
The generic ballot has been stable all year for 2014, and with a small Democratic advantage (although not nearly enough to take back the House). Things can always change—but as of now, there's no evidence of a developing Republican wave.In past years, massive waves have been quite obvious by now. Here's the data going back to 2002:
attribution: None Specified
It's only six elections worth of data, so it's difficult to draw conclusions or attempt predictions, but it's pretty clear the mood of the electorate this year is different from 2010 or 2006.
right wing media and those who are apparently closeted republican commentators have been touting the likelihood of republicans taking senate and keeping the stolen gerrymandered house I'm sure creating fear and trying to instigate the complacency and indifference of Progressive voters who they also keep drilling that we have a record of not showing up at midterms, is this us in 2014 and on do we continue to default to them or do we take our vote back?
it's all dependent on us don't show Nov. 4th they have read us and stereotyped us be there and take back our pride and stereotype them our future is ours to throw away or nurture, what's your choice.
