http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/09/30/1333270/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Polling-Wrap-How-real-is-all-the-Republican-wave-talk?detail=email
It is not hard, for followers of electoral politics, to find some talking head, or some online article, forecasting a forthcoming Republican "wave." Indeed, if you were running a tally of days since the last time a major media political observer used that phrasing (in spirit, if not in letter), you're going to need to restart your clock.
It's hard not to feel a little sense of irrational exuberance if you are a Republican, and a sense of dread if you are a Democrat, by reading the "big" polling headlines. Be it the horrible polling week last week for Alaska incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Begich, or the banner headline from this weekend's Des Moines Register poll (long considered a "gold standard" poll in Iowa), the recent marked decline in Democratic fortunes as it relates to the Senate has led to a wave (if you'll pardon the pun) of renewed speculation about flagging Democratic fortunes for the 2014 midterm cycle.
But is that fair? And is it accurate? The actual numbers tell us a fairly mixed story about the current state of play in 2014. For that analysis, and a look at the 40 different polls that made their way across our desk in the past four days (polls which were entered into our database between Sep 26-29), head below the fold Right away, some disturbing signs for Democrats are immediately clear.
For one thing, the Democrats are now trailing in four seats that are currently held by their party (Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana). Add those four to the three seats already presumed to be near-impossible retentions for the Democrats (Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia), and the Democrats are down to 48 seats and it is "hello, Majority Leader McConnell."For another, nine of the eleven races, over the past month, have moved in the direction of the GOP. Some of the movement has been marked (Alaska shifted the most, while Louisiana's movement is overblown a little by a couple of polls by the Senate Conservatives Fund clearly designed to make Bill Cassidy, whom they hate, look bad), while some has been more subtle.ld.
I too am dismayed by the reporting of republicans leading virtually everywhere, then my common sense kicks in and I wonder how can this be the last few years exposing of republican lies and debunking of their selfie scandals and all the skullduggery just to steal another election. I think PRES. won by more than 51 % how can the republicans be leading by more than that.
I know polls are selective and responsible to the one with the check even old staples like Gallup have come under suspicion with questionable results dollar dollar bill yah. if you are right wing and you solicit a poll you don't want predominantly Progressive demographics polled you want your right wing benefactor to be happy. I would think some on the left do too but we only herar the outrageous numbers when it comes to republican polls.
I still with gerrymandering and all how so many can be opposed to all PRES. has done on their behalf.
are they just ungrateful or have the turned their backs on the one the brought them and bought in to the republican lies?
http://ireport.cnn.com/docs/DOC-753680
